Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the Swedish Hockey League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Swedish Hockey League per the rules of Swedish Hockey League (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after May 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Brynäs IF | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Djurgårdens IF | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Färjestad BK | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Frölunda HC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| HV71 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Leksands IF | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Linköping HC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Luleå HF | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The Swedish Hockey League (SHL) championship will be determined through the 2025–26 season, culminating in playoff competition before the May 2026 settlement deadline. The league comprises 14 teams competing in a regular season followed by a best-of-seven playoff format, with the champion crowned typically in April. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either a technical issue with market initialisation, an extremely illiquid book with wide spreads, or genuine uncertainty about which specific team this market references—a critical distinction given the alphabetical tiebreaker rule specified in the resolution criteria.
Historically, SHL championship probabilities have tracked closely with regular-season performance and playoff seeding, with top-four teams typically commanding 15–30% individual market probability by season's end. Färjestads BK, Växjö Lakers, and Skellefteå AIK have dominated recent seasons, though parity remains higher than in some European leagues. The 0% reading sits well outside normal distribution patterns and warrants verification of whether the listed team name matches official SHL rosters or whether liquidity constraints have created a pricing anomaly.
Key catalysts include the SHL regular season schedule (running through March 2026), playoff bracket confirmation in April, and any roster changes or injury announcements affecting contenders. Traders should monitor official SHL communications and Swedish sports media for team performance trajectories and playoff positioning updates. The settlement window closes 9 May 2026, allowing minimal margin for playoff delays or administrative complications.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Swedish Hockey League: Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$4K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for ice hockey contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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