Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the Kontinental Hockey League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Kontinental Hockey League per the rules of Kontinental Hockey League (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Admiral Vladivostok | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Ak Bars Kazan | 33% YES | 68% NO |
| Amur Khabarovsk | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Avangard Omsk | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Barys Astana | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CSKA Moscow | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Dinamo Minsk | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The Kontinental Hockey League (KHL) is the premier professional ice-hockey competition in Russia and the post-Soviet space, comprising 28 teams across multiple countries. The 2025–26 season will conclude with playoff finals scheduled to resolve before the June 2026 settlement deadline. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either a team that has been mathematically eliminated from contention, has withdrawn from the league, or faces regulatory barriers to participation. Given the KHL's operational structure and the settlement window extending to early June 2026, any team still competing in the regular season retains theoretical championship viability until formal elimination occurs.
Historical precedent suggests that KHL championship odds shift dramatically during the playoff phase, which typically runs from February through May. Teams with strong regular-season records—particularly CSKA Moscow, SKA Saint Petersburg, and Dynamo Moscow—have dominated recent titles, though upsets remain possible in best-of-seven series. The 0% probability may indicate a team facing structural disadvantages: recent poor performance, roster depletion, or geopolitical complications affecting league participation, as occurred with certain franchises following 2022 events.
Traders should monitor official KHL announcements regarding team standings, playoff qualification thresholds, and any regulatory changes affecting participating franchises. Fixture congestion in early 2026 and injury reports for key rosters will influence championship odds. Recent reporting from sports outlets covering Eastern European hockey will clarify whether the listed team remains operationally viable through the settlement window.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Kontinental Hockey League: Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$7K in lifetime turnover and $884 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for ice hockey contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $13 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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