Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Hungary NB I game between Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC and Kazincbarcikai SC, scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC vs. Kazincbarcikai SC match originally scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 9% YES | 91% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 11% YES | 89% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 4% YES | 97% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus and Kazincbarcikai SC meet in Hungary's top division on 15 May 2026. The market prices a specific exact scoreline at 6% implied probability, reflecting the combined weight of all listed outcomes on Polymarket's order book. Settlement captures only the 90-minute result plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded from consideration.
Hungary NB I matches typically see moderate scoring frequency, with most fixtures resolving to outcomes between 0–2 and 2–1. Historical precedent suggests that any single exact scoreline in a two-team fixture carries low individual probability; the 6% current price indicates traders view this particular outcome as less likely than the modal scorelines for these sides. Nyiregyhaza and Kazincbarcikai occupy mid-table positions in the Hungarian league, where defensive solidity often constrains goal output. Recent seasons show both clubs average roughly 1.3 goals per match across home and away fixtures.
Traders should monitor team news and injury updates as the fixture approaches, particularly regarding key attacking or defensive personnel. Fixture congestion in late May—when league campaigns conclude—can affect squad rotation and intensity. Weather conditions at kickoff may influence play style; Hungarian spring weather is variable. The settlement window closes immediately after the final whistle, leaving no window for late-breaking information. Current order book depth will indicate whether the 6% reflects genuine disagreement on likelihood or thin liquidity in this specific outcome.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlsz.hu/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC vs. Kazincbarcikai SC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $25K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for hungary nb1 contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlsz.hu/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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