Trade the outcome below — no house edge, instant USDC settlement on Polygon
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Allsvenskan game between Malmo FF and Halmstads BK, scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Malmo FF vs. Halmstads BK match originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the…
Real-money prediction markets aggregate live odds from thousands of traders, surfacing a sharper probability than any single forecast. Current odds favour the NO side at 6%, making this a high-confidence market with 2 days to resolution — final-48h markets historically see the largest volume spikes, backed by $27K of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 12% YES | 88% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 12% YES | 89% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-3 | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-1 | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-2 | 4% YES | 97% NO |
Malmö FF will face Halmstads BK in an Allsvenskan fixture on 30 May 2026, with settlement based on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The current 6% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects the specificity required: predicting an exact scoreline rather than a match outcome. This represents a meaningful constraint, as even heavily favoured results fragment across multiple exact-score possibilities. Malmö, historically one of Sweden's strongest sides, would typically be expected to win or draw against most Allsvenskan opposition, yet any single scoreline—whether 1–0, 2–1, or 3–0—carries modest individual probability.
Historical precedent suggests exact-score markets in Scandinavian football settle across a wide distribution. Malmö's recent form, squad depth, and home-or-away status will determine whether the market's current pricing reflects genuine scarcity of a specific outcome or undervaluation of a plausible result. The 6% figure likely concentrates on a narrow range of scorelines rather than a single result. Traders should monitor team news, injury updates, and any fixture rescheduling announcements closer to the settlement window, as postponements would extend the market's open period. Malmö's domestic performance trajectory and Halmstads' defensive record in the weeks preceding the match will provide calibration points for reassessing the probability distribution across listed outcomes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.allsvenskan.se/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 30 May 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Because this market resolves from a publicly verifiable feed (https://www.allsvenskan.se/), the probability of dispute is materially lower than the overall 0.5% PolyGram baseline — most disputes occur on markets with ambiguous wording or non-public resolution sources.
Withdrawal pace from your PolyGram balance is non-custodial and immediate — once payout clears, funds are yours to send to any Polygon wallet you control. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "Malmo FF vs. Halmstads BK - Exact Score", order-book behaviour for this market reflects the underlying volatility of the outcome — patient limit orders typically fill closer to mid than market orders.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($27K of resting liquidity), a $100 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
The mechanics for trading "Malmo FF vs. Halmstads BK - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $27K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.allsvenskan.se/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 30 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "Malmo FF vs. Halmstads BK - Exact Score", the considerations above apply directly — Trade size should reflect the binary nature of the payoff: even a 70% probability event resolves NO 30% of the time, so any single position can lose 100% of staked capital.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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