Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between FC Cajamarca and CS Cristal, scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal match originally scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 9% YES | 91% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 13% YES | 87% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 5% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 8% YES | 92% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 8% YES | 92% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-3 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
FC Cajamarca will host CS Cristal in Peru's Liga 1 on 15 May 2026. The market prices an exact final score at 9% implied probability across Polymarket's order book, reflecting the specificity required: bettors must predict not just the winner but the precise scoreline after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Any deviation from the listed outcomes settles to "Any Other Score," which captures the residual probability mass. The settlement window closes at 20:00 UTC on match day.
Exact-score markets in South American football typically see low individual outcome probabilities due to the combinatorial nature of possible results. Historical data from comparable Liga 1 fixtures shows that most matches produce scorelines between 0–3 goals per side, with 1–1 and 2–1 results appearing most frequently. The 9% probability on this particular outcome suggests traders view it as a moderately likely scoreline relative to alternatives, though the specific teams' recent form, injury status, and head-to-head records will refine that assessment as match day approaches.
Traders should monitor team news releases and Liga 1 fixture confirmations through May. Cajamarca's home advantage and recent league positioning relative to Cristal's form will influence scoring expectations. Any late squad changes, managerial shifts, or weather conditions affecting pitch play could shift the order book significantly in the final hours before kick-off. Polymarket's order book will reflect real-time repricing as new information emerges and as traders adjust positions based on pre-match analysis.
Fútbol Club Cajamarca, commonly known as FC Cajamarca or Cajamarca, is a Peruvian football club based in the city of Cajamarca, Peru. It was founded in 2023 and participates in the Liga 1, the top tier of the Peruvian football league system.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://liga1.pe/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $27K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://liga1.pe/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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