Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between AD Tarma and CD Comerciantes Unidos, scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the AD Tarma vs. CD Comerciantes Unidos match originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 12% YES | 88% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 11% YES | 89% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-3 | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-3 | 3% YES | 97% NO |
AD Tarma and CD Comerciantes Unidos will contest a Peru Liga 1 fixture on 17 May 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. The market prices specific final scores at 34% implied probability for YES outcomes, with settlement determined by the 90-minute result plus stoppage time only. Any score not explicitly listed resolves to "Any Other Score," a common catch-all in football exact-score markets that typically captures 60–75% of outcomes across comparable leagues.
Exact-score markets in Peru Liga 1 historically reflect the relative quality gap between opponents and home-field advantage. Tarma, playing at home, would typically see modest favouring in low-scoring outcomes (1–0, 2–1) compared to away fixtures. Comerciantes Unidos' recent form and defensive record will determine whether the market's 34% YES reflects confidence in a narrow Tarma victory or scattered probability across multiple listed scorelines. Polymarket's order book shows how traders are distributing risk across individual score outcomes; the current probability aggregates these positions and reveals whether the listed scores are being treated as likely or as tail events.
Traders should monitor team news, injury reports, and any fixture rescheduling announcements through Peru's Liga 1 official channels in the weeks preceding the match. Fixture congestion late in the season can affect squad rotation and performance. The settlement window closes at 15:00 UTC on 17 May, allowing only the standard 90-minute window; any postponement keeps the market open until completion, which may create liquidity shifts if rescheduling occurs.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://liga1.pe/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "AD Tarma vs. CD Comerciantes Unidos - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $12K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://liga1.pe/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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