Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Pawit Sornlaksup and Tanakorn Srirat in the ITF Men Nakhon Pathom, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 12:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pawit Sornlaksup' if Pawit Sornlaksup advances against Tanakorn Srirat. This market will resolve to 'Tanakorn Srirat' if Tanakorn Srirat advances against Pawit Sornlaksup. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Nakhon Pathom: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Tanakorn Srirat | 94% YES | 7% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Pawit Sornlaksup faces Tanakorn Srirat in an ITF Men's tournament match at Nakhon Pathom, Thailand, originally scheduled for 14 May 2026. The 94% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects strong backing for Sornlaksup to advance. This probability has formed through active trading on the book, where the gap between bid and ask prices narrows as consensus builds around the favourite. The settlement window extends to 21 May 2026, allowing a seven-day buffer beyond the scheduled date before non-completion triggers a 50-50 resolution.
ITF Men's circuit matches at this level typically feature players ranked outside the ATP top 500, with outcomes heavily influenced by recent form, surface preference, and head-to-head records. Thai domestic ITF tournaments have historically seen home-nation competitors perform well when playing on familiar courts, though this advantage varies significantly by individual player trajectory and current ranking momentum. Comparable matches at ITF 15K level events show that favourites at 90%+ probability often reflect either a substantial ranking gap or prior competitive history favouring one player.
Traders should monitor official ITF tournament updates and player withdrawal announcements through the week of 12 May, as illness, injury, or scheduling conflicts occasionally force late scratches. Court surface conditions and weather forecasts for Nakhon Pathom in mid-May may also shift trader sentiment if either player has documented surface-specific weaknesses. Any official draw changes or match rescheduling would be published on the ITF website and could trigger repricing before the settlement deadline.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Nakhon Pathom: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Tanakorn Srirat" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$17 in lifetime turnover and $82 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $65 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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