Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Andreea Diana Soare and Angelica Raggi in the ITF Women Bucharest, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 7:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andreea Diana Soare' if Andreea Diana Soare advances against Angelica Raggi. This market will resolve to 'Angelica Raggi' if Angelica Raggi advances against Andreea Diana Soare. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Bucharest: Andreea Diana Soare vs Angelica Raggi | 12% YES | 88% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Andreea Diana Soare, a Romanian ITF competitor, faces Italy's Angelica Raggi in the ITF Women's Bucharest tournament, scheduled for 14 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture where both players are competing for ranking points and prize money on the International Tennis Federation circuit. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 12% implied probability for Soare's advancement, suggesting the market views Raggi as the favoured competitor in this matchup.
ITF Women's matches at this level typically feature significant variance in outcomes, particularly when both players occupy similar ranking tiers. Historical ITF Bucharest results show home-nation advantage can influence performance, though Soare's familiarity with local conditions has not consistently translated to tournament progression. Comparable matches between players of equivalent ITF rankings demonstrate that upset probabilities of 12–15% align with conventional expectations when the favourite holds marginal technical or fitness advantages.
Traders should monitor player injury announcements and withdrawal notices through the ITF's official tournament updates, which typically confirm final draw participation 48 hours before scheduled play. Weather conditions in Bucharest during mid-May could affect court surface conditions and player performance, particularly on clay courts. The settlement window extends to 21 May 2026, providing a seven-day buffer for match completion; any cancellation or delay beyond this period without a determined winner triggers a 50-50 resolution. Recent ITF tournament schedules have shown reliable adherence to published dates, reducing the probability of administrative complications.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Bucharest: Andreea Diana Soare vs Angelica Raggi" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $337 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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