Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team's player records the highest individual run total in the cricket match between Bangladesh and Sri Lanka scheduled for 2026-05-02 in T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Bangladesh will be considered correct if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from Bangladesh. The outcome corresponding to Sri Lanka will be considered correct if the highest individual score is recorded exclusively by a player from Sri Lanka.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| BGD | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| LKA | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Bangladesh and Sri Lanka's women's teams will contest a T20 match on 2 May 2026, with this market determining which nation produces the match's highest individual run-scorer. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for Bangladesh, suggesting traders are pricing in Sri Lanka as the near-certain source of the top batter. This extreme skew typically emerges when one team is perceived to hold a substantial advantage in batting depth or individual player quality, though such lopsided probabilities warrant scrutiny given the inherent variance in T20 cricket.
Historical matchups between these sides offer limited direct precedent for calibrating expectations. Women's T20 bilateral series between Bangladesh and Sri Lanka have been sporadic, and squad compositions shift materially between tournaments. Sri Lanka has generally maintained stronger individual batting talent at the international level, with players like Chamari Athapaththu and Alyssa Devine capable of dominating T20 innings. However, Bangladesh has developed competitive batting units in recent years, and T20 formats inherently favour explosive individual performances regardless of overall team strength.
Traders should monitor squad announcements closer to the match date, as injury withdrawals or late selection changes could substantially alter the probability. The timing of the fixture within the broader T20 Series schedule may also influence team composition and player form. Recent performance data from both sides' preceding matches in the series will provide concrete evidence of current batting conditions and individual player momentum heading into this encounter.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka - Team Top Batter" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$297 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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