Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket semifinals 1 match between ZETA DIVISION and VARREL in the Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1, initially scheduled for May 11 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ZETA DIVISION" if ZETA DIVISION win the match against VARREL. This market will resolve to "VARREL" if VARREL win the match against ZETA DIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: VARREL (-1.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
ZETA DIVISION, the Japanese esports organisation, will face VARREL in an upper bracket semifinal of the Valorant Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1 on 11 May at 04:00 ET. The best-of-three match determines advancement in a regional qualifier feeding into a broader international tournament structure. The current Polymarket order book reflects 0% implied probability for ZETA DIVISION victory, indicating traders are pricing near-certain VARREL success or substantial uncertainty about match execution.
ZETA DIVISION has historically competed at the upper tier of Pacific Valorant, though roster stability and recent form fluctuate seasonally. VARREL's presence in an upper bracket semifinal suggests comparable competitive standing within the regional circuit. The 0% probability on Polymarket likely reflects either incomplete information about team rosters, recent performance metrics, or the broader liquidity constraints typical of niche esports markets where trading volume concentrates around major international events rather than regional qualifiers.
Key variables for traders include official roster confirmations from both organisations, any schedule adjustments announced by tournament organisers, and technical issues that could trigger the 7-day delay clause. The settlement window closes at 14:15 UTC on 11 May, providing a narrow window after the scheduled 04:00 ET start. Traders should monitor official Esports World Cup communications and team social media for withdrawal announcements or format changes, as regional qualifiers occasionally experience last-minute modifications.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://vlr.gg. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: ZETA DIVISION vs VARREL (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$4K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $4K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://vlr.gg. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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