Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant match between TBK Esports and PEEK in the VCL Brazil: Group A, initially scheduled for May 12 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "TBK Esports" if TBK Esports win the match against PEEK. This market will resolve to "PEEK" if PEEK win the match against TBK Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: TBK (-1.5) vs PEEK (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
TBK Esports face PEEK in a best-of-three Valorant match within VCL Brazil's Group A competition, scheduled for 12 May at 4:00PM ET with settlement closing 13 May at 02:00 UTC. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for TBK Esports, indicating the crowd perceives this as a decisive matchup. This extreme probability typically emerges when one team holds a substantial competitive advantage or when market participants have high confidence in a particular outcome based on recent form and roster composition.
VCL Brazil operates as a secondary competitive tier beneath the primary VALORANT Champions League, attracting developing talent and established regional players. Historical precedent suggests that matches at this level occasionally experience scheduling disruptions or technical delays, though outright cancellations remain uncommon. The resolution criteria specify a 50-50 split if the match is delayed beyond seven days without completion, creating a boundary condition traders should monitor. Recent VCL Brazil fixtures have generally proceeded as scheduled, though regional infrastructure occasionally introduces minor delays.
Traders should track roster announcements or player availability updates through official VCL Brazil communications and team social media channels in the 48 hours preceding the match. Any last-minute substitutions or coaching changes could shift competitive dynamics, though the current probability suggests the market has already priced in available information about both rosters. Technical issues or venue complications would trigger the extended delay clause, making fixture confirmation on 12 May itself a critical catalyst for probability reassessment.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5isBqaHZGDM. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: TBK Esports vs PEEK (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Group A" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$457 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $456 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5isBqaHZGDM. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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