Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket semifinal match between Ramboot Club and Barça eSports in the VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 5 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ramboot Club" if Ramboot Club win the match against Barça eSports. This market will resolve to "Barça eSports" if Barça eSports win the match against Ramboot Club. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: BAR (-1.5) vs Ramboot Club (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Ramboot Club face Barça eSports in a lower bracket semifinal of the VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs, a best-of-three Valorant match scheduled for 5 May at 11:00 AM ET. The winner advances in the Spanish regional circuit; the loser is eliminated. Current order book pricing on Polymarket reflects 0% implied probability for Ramboot Club victory, suggesting the market has assigned near-certain status to Barça eSports. This extreme skew typically emerges when one team holds a decisive competitive advantage or when recent form data has heavily favoured one side.
Spanish Valorant's regional structure has historically produced volatile upsets in lower bracket play, where teams facing elimination sometimes perform above their seeding. However, Barça eSports' presence in this fixture—backed by the Barcelona club infrastructure—typically correlates with stronger roster depth and resources than independent Spanish organisations. The current 0% pricing may reflect Barça's recent match results, head-to-head record, or roster stability relative to Ramboot Club's composition entering the playoffs.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding player availability or substitutions before the 5 May fixture, as roster changes materially affect lower bracket outcomes. Schedule adherence matters: the settlement window closes 7 days post-scheduled date, meaning any significant delay without resolution triggers a 50-50 settlement. Fixture confirmation and any official updates from the VCL Spain organiser should be tracked through their competition channels in the days preceding the match.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/LVPes2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: Ramboot Club vs Barça eSports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$12K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/LVPes2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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