Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant match between G2 Esports and Cloud9 in the VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for May 9 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against Cloud9. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against G2 Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 1% YES | 99% NO |
G2 Esports and Cloud9 will compete in a best-of-three Valorant match within the VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha on 9 May at 17:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 52% implied probability for G2 victory, suggesting near-parity between the two rosters with a modest lean towards the European organisation. This probability emerges from real-time trading activity rather than algorithmic consensus, making it sensitive to fresh information and position adjustments throughout the settlement window, which closes on 10 May at 03:00 UTC.
G2 and Cloud9 occupy comparable tiers within the Americas competitive hierarchy, though recent roster changes and tournament results provide context for the current pricing. G2 has maintained consistent international representation, whilst Cloud9 has cycled through personnel adjustments that affect predictability. Historical matchups between similarly-ranked teams in VCT group stages typically settle near 50-50 unless one roster demonstrates clear recent form advantages or tactical innovations. The 52% YES position suggests traders perceive marginal edge to G2, though the narrow margin reflects genuine competitive uncertainty.
Traders should monitor official VCT scheduling confirmations and any last-minute roster announcements through the Valorant Champions Tour website and team social channels. Injury reports, stand-in deployments, or technical delays could trigger significant repricing. The match's position within the group stage means both teams carry equal motivation, reducing the likelihood of unconventional outcomes. Settlement depends on match completion; cancellation or delays beyond seven days without resolution would trigger 50-50 resolution per market terms.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_americas. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$245K in lifetime turnover and $243K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $245K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_americas. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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