Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 2 match between DNSTY and FALKE ESPORTS in the VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 3 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "DNSTY" if DNSTY win the match against FALKE ESPORTS. This market will resolve to "FALKE ESPORTS" if FALKE ESPORTS win the match against DNSTY. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: DSY (-1.5) vs FALKE ESPORTS (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: FLK (-1.5) vs DNSTY (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
DNSTY and FALKE ESPORTS will compete in the lower bracket round two of the VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs, a best-of-three Valorant match scheduled for 3 May at 11:00 AM ET. The winner advances further in the lower bracket whilst the loser is eliminated from the tournament. Settlement occurs at 21:00 UTC on 3 May, providing a ten-hour window after the scheduled start time for the match to conclude.
The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects minimal trading activity rather than certainty about the outcome. VCL Spain: Rising events typically attract modest liquidity compared to tier-one regional competitions, and matches involving lesser-known Spanish rosters often see sparse order book depth. Historical precedent suggests that lower-bracket Valorant matches in regional Spanish leagues resolve without incident, though fixture delays occasionally occur due to scheduling conflicts or technical issues within the broader tournament structure.
Traders should monitor official VCL Spain communications for any schedule adjustments or team roster changes in the days preceding 3 May. Both teams' recent performance in the Rising Phase 2 regular season will provide context for competitive balance, though lower-bracket positioning itself indicates neither team topped their group. The match's relatively low profile means liquidity may remain thin throughout the settlement window; any significant order book activity would likely emerge closer to match start time as regional esports followers engage with the fixture.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/LVPes2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: DNSTY vs FALKE ESPORTS (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$13K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/LVPes2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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