Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant match between AGELITE and QT DIG∞ in the VCL Japan Main Stage, initially scheduled for May 31 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "AGELITE" if AGELITE win the match against QT DIG∞. This market will resolve to "QT DIG∞" if QT DIG∞ win the match against AGELITE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: QTD (-1.5) vs AGELITE (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
AGELITE and QT DIG∞ are scheduled to contest a best-of-three Valorant match on the VCL Japan Main Stage on 31 May 2026 at 06:00 ET. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal liquidity at current price levels or a consensus view that one team is heavily favoured. With the settlement window closing at 16:15 UTC on match day, traders have a narrow window to react to any schedule changes or team announcements prior to play.
VCL Japan operates within a competitive ecosystem where roster stability and recent form carry substantial weight. Historical precedent from regional Valorant tournaments suggests that matches involving established franchises rarely fail to complete, though technical issues or unforeseen circumstances have occasionally forced rescheduling beyond the seven-day threshold. The current probability distribution may reflect pre-match betting patterns or a lack of meaningful order flow at the extremes, rather than a definitive assessment of competitive balance.
Traders should monitor official VCL Japan communications for any roster changes, player availability updates, or scheduling confirmations in the days preceding 31 May. Recent regional tournaments have seen occasional delays due to technical infrastructure or administrative issues, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause if the match extends beyond 7 June without a determined winner. Confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled typically emerges 24–48 hours before play.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_jpn. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: AGELITE vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_jpn. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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