Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant match between 2GAME Esports and Elevate in the VCL Brazil: Group B, initially scheduled for May 6 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "2GAME Esports" if 2GAME Esports win the match against Elevate. This market will resolve to "Elevate" if Elevate win the match against 2GAME Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: 2GAME (-1.5) vs Elevate (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
VCL Brazil Group B features a best-of-three Valorant match between 2GAME Esports and Elevate scheduled for 6 May at 4:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for 2GAME Esports, indicating the market has priced in an overwhelming expectation of their victory. This extreme probability typically emerges when one team holds a decisive competitive advantage or when information asymmetries favour one side heavily.
Historical precedent in VCL Brazil suggests that established organisations with consistent roster stability and prior tournament results tend to command substantial probability premiums. 2GAME Esports' positioning at the top of the order book reflects either superior recent form, head-to-head record against Elevate, or broader circuit standing within the Brazilian Valorant ecosystem. Comparable matches in regional VCL competitions have occasionally seen such skewed probabilities correct when underdog teams field unexpected tactical adjustments or when roster changes alter competitive balance unexpectedly.
Traders should monitor official VCL Brazil announcements regarding match confirmation, any last-minute roster changes, or schedule alterations that could affect the 7-day settlement window. Technical disruptions during the broadcast or forfeiture scenarios would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. The settlement deadline of 7 May at 02:00:00Z provides a narrow window for match completion; any delays beyond this point without a determined winner would similarly resolve to 50-50 regardless of the current probability formation.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n4Mff2XlnNc. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: 2GAME Esports vs Elevate (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Group B" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n4Mff2XlnNc. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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