Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between LOS and ENTERPRISE Esports in the BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Play-In, initially scheduled for May 8 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win the match against ENTERPRISE Esports. This market will resolve to "ENTERPRISE Esports" if ENTERPRISE Esports win the match against LOS. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs ENTERPRISE Esports (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Play-In features a Rainbow Six Siege upper bracket semifinal between LOS and ENTERPRISE Esports, scheduled for 8 May at 3:30PM ET. This is a best-of-three match determining progression in one of the year's significant competitive Siege tournaments. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero probability for LOS victory, indicating traders are pricing an overwhelming expectation of ENTERPRISE Esports advancement.
Historical precedent in R6 esports suggests that 0% probabilities in play-in matches typically reflect either substantial skill disparity or recent roster changes favouring one side. ENTERPRISE Esports has maintained competitive standing in North American Siege, whilst LOS's recent form and roster stability warrant examination. The settlement window extends to 9 May at 01:30 UTC, providing a 22-hour buffer beyond the scheduled match time for completion and result confirmation.
Key catalysts include official roster confirmations closer to the event date and any schedule adjustments announced by BLAST or the R6 esports governing body. Traders should monitor team announcements regarding player availability, as substitutions have historically shifted competitive dynamics in play-in matches. The 50-50 resolution clause for cancellations, ties, or delays exceeding seven days creates tail risk; however, BLAST-sanctioned events rarely experience such disruptions. Current pricing reflects confidence in ENTERPRISE's superiority, though the complete absence of LOS probability leaves minimal margin for upset scenarios.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/rainbow6. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Rainbow Six Siege: LOS vs ENTERPRISE Esports (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Play-In" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$75 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/rainbow6. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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