Trade: Rainbow Six Siege: ENTERPRISE Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege Round 4 match between ENTERPRISE Esports and Shopify Rebellion in the BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 4:45PM ET. This market will resolve to "ENTERPRISE Esports" if ENTERPRISE Esports win the match against Shopify Rebellion. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against ENTERPRISE Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $3K
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 36% YES | 65% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs ENTERPRISE Esports (+1.5) | 51% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
ENTERPRISE Esports face Shopify Rebellion in Round 4 of the BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City group stage, a best-of-three match scheduled for 12 May at 4:45PM ET. The winner advances through the tournament bracket whilst the loser faces elimination pressure. The current order book on Polymarket prices ENTERPRISE at 36% implied probability, reflecting market participants' assessment that Shopify Rebellion holds the stronger positioning heading into this fixture.
Historical context for Rainbow Six Siege esports suggests that North American regional strength has shifted considerably over recent seasons. Shopify Rebellion, representing Canada's competitive scene, has maintained consistent top-eight finishes at international majors and demonstrated resilience in best-of-three formats. ENTERPRISE, competing from the United States, has shown volatility in recent LAN performances, with inconsistent map pool execution against established opponents. When similarly-ranked teams meet at majors, the 36% probability for the underdog typically reflects a 2–1 series outcome favouring the favourite in roughly 60–65% of comparable matchups.
Traders should monitor roster stability announcements and any schedule adjustments from BLAST in the days preceding 12 May. Recent performance data from regional qualifiers and online tournaments will provide the most reliable signal, though map veto strategies often prove decisive in best-of-three encounters. Any roster changes, player illness, or technical issues affecting either team could shift market pricing materially. The settlement window closes 13 May at 02:45 UTC, allowing seven days for match completion before the 50–50 tie resolution triggers.
Wikipedia Context
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Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six SiegeTom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege is a 2015 tactical shooter game developed by Ubisoft Montreal and published by Ubisoft. The game puts heavy emphasis on environmental destruction and cooperation between players. Each player assumes control of an attacker or a defender in different gameplay modes such as rescuing a hostage, defusing a bomb, or taking control of
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Rainbow Six (novel)Rainbow Six is a techno-thriller novel written by Tom Clancy and released on August 3, 1998. It is the second book to primarily focus on John Clark, one of the recurring characters in the Ryanverse, after Without Remorse (1993); it also features his son-in-law, Domingo "Ding" Chavez. Rainbow Six follows "Rainbow", a secret international counterterrorist orga
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Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six ExtractionTom Clancy's Rainbow Six Extraction is an online multiplayer tactical shooter video game developed by Ubisoft Montreal and published by Ubisoft. A spin-off of Rainbow Six Siege (2015), Extraction is a cooperative multiplayer game in which players must work together to combat and defeat a type of parasite-like aliens called the Archæans. The game was released
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Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six 3: Raven ShieldTom Clancy's Rainbow Six 3: Raven Shield is a 2003 tactical first-person shooter video game developed by Red Storm Entertainment and published by Ubi Soft for Microsoft Windows and Mac OS X. It is the third entry in the Rainbow Six series. The game's plot follows Rainbow, a secret international counterterrorist organization, as they respond to a wave of terr
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Rainbow Six Siege: ENTERPRISE Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Gro" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Rainbow Six Siege: ENTERPRISE Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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