Trade: Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 1st Division

Market context

Team Yandex face Virtus.pro in a best-of-three Mobile Legends Bang Bang encounter within the BetBoom Rise of Legends 1st Division, scheduled for 13 May at 16:00 UTC. The current order book on Polymarket prices Team Yandex at 25 per cent implied probability, reflecting substantial backing for Virtus.pro as favourites. This pricing emerges from real-time trading activity on the platform's order book, where traders have positioned themselves ahead of the match window closing on 13 May at 21:00 UTC.

Historical performance data from the BetBoom Rise of Legends circuit shows Virtus.pro have maintained stronger consistency in recent divisional play, with higher map win rates across the 2024–2025 season. Team Yandex, whilst capable of upset performances, have shown volatility in early-season matchups. The 25 per cent probability assigned to Yandex reflects their underdog status relative to Virtus.pro's recent form, though such odds in esports remain sensitive to roster changes and patch-dependent meta shifts that can favour specific team compositions.

Traders should monitor official BetBoom announcements regarding any roster substitutions or schedule confirmations in the days preceding 13 May. Mobile Legends patch updates released immediately before tournament play can materially shift competitive balance. The settlement mechanism includes a 50–50 resolution if the match is cancelled, delayed beyond seven days without completion, or ends in a tie—a contingency worth pricing given scheduling unpredictability in regional esports circuits.

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qZHRM1_KKNI. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 1st Division" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$938 in lifetime turnover and $91K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.

Last 24 hours alone saw $938 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share

A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

CLOB

Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.

Liquidity

USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.

UMA optimistic oracle

The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.

Slippage

The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.

Conditional token

ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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