Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Vivo Keyd Stars and LOUD in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 10 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vivo Keyd Stars" if Vivo Keyd Stars win the match against LOUD. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against Vivo Keyd Stars. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 90% YES | 10% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Vivo Keyd Stars face LOUD in the upper bracket quarterfinal of the 2026 CBLOL playoffs, scheduled for 10 May at 12:00 PM ET. The best-of-five match determines progression in Brazil's primary League of Legends competition. Currently, Polymarket's order book reflects a 50-50 split probability, indicating genuine uncertainty amongst traders about which team advances.
Both organisations have demonstrated competitive parity in recent CBLOL seasons, though LOUD has historically held a slight edge in head-to-head records and international representation. Vivo Keyd Stars' recent form and roster stability will be critical factors; teams entering playoffs from lower seeding positions often face momentum disadvantages. The 50-50 probability suggests the market has not yet priced in meaningful differences in current strength, coaching adjustments, or meta-read advantages that typically emerge in playoff preparation windows.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute coaching changes through official CBLOL channels in the days preceding the match. Scrim results, whilst not publicly disclosed, occasionally surface through player social media commentary. The settlement window closes at 22:10 UTC on 9 May, providing a narrow window for late information absorption. Any schedule delays beyond 7 May would trigger a 50-50 resolution, so fixture confirmation remains a material catalyst. Recent patch notes affecting champion viability may also shift preparation priorities between now and match day.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/cblol. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$512K in lifetime turnover and $510K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $506K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/cblol. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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