Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Vitality.Bee and Galions in the LFL Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 7 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality.Bee" if Vitality.Bee win the match against Galions. This market will resolve to "Galions" if Galions win the match against Vitality.Bee. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Vitality.Bee (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Vitality.Bee and Galions will contest an upper bracket quarterfinal match in the League of Legends French League (LFL) playoffs on 7 May, scheduled for 12:00 PM ET. The best-of-three format determines advancement in the competition's knockout stage. The 100% crowd-implied probability reflects strong consensus on match completion rather than necessarily predicting the outcome between the two teams.
LFL playoff matches have historically proceeded as scheduled with minimal disruption, though technical issues or player availability have occasionally caused delays in European esports competitions. The current probability of 100% YES suggests traders are pricing in near-certainty that the match will be played and completed by the settlement deadline of 22:00 UTC on 7 May. This leaves approximately ten hours after the scheduled start time for a best-of-three to conclude, which aligns with typical LFL match duration of two to three hours including breaks.
Traders should monitor official LFL announcements for any roster changes, player illness, or technical infrastructure issues in the days preceding the match. Schedule confirmations from Riot Games' European operations typically arrive 48 hours before playoff fixtures. Internet connectivity disruptions affecting either team's venue or broadcast infrastructure represent the primary risk factor for non-completion. The settlement window's 50-50 resolution clause for matches delayed beyond seven days creates a narrow window for resolution disputes, making timely match execution critical to the market's binary outcome.
This market settles from the official outcome published at http://www.twitch.tv/otplol_. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions (BO3) - LFL Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$155K in lifetime turnover and $488K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $154K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from http://www.twitch.tv/otplol_. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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