Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Spartans EU and Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports in the HLL Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 7 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spartans EU" if Spartans EU win the match against Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports. This market will resolve to "Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports" if Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports win the match against Spartans EU. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Spartans EU face Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports in a best-of-two League of Legends match within the HLL Regular Season, scheduled for 7 May at 11:00 AM ET. The settlement window closes at 21:15 UTC the same day, allowing approximately ten hours for the match to conclude and be officially recorded. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for resolution, suggesting traders are pricing in near-certainty that one team will secure victory within the settlement window.
College esports fixtures in established regional leagues typically proceed as scheduled, with cancellations or extended delays remaining uncommon. Historical precedent from similar HLL matchups indicates that best-of-two formats resolve decisively on their scheduled dates, barring exceptional circumstances such as technical infrastructure failure or force majeure events. The tight settlement window—closing the same evening as the match—leaves minimal buffer for administrative delays, which has likely contributed to the current probability assessment.
Traders should monitor official HLL communications for any schedule changes or postponements announced before 7 May. Roster confirmations and player availability updates from either organisation could signal fixture integrity. The dependency on timely broadcast completion and official result certification means any streaming platform outages or administrative processing delays could theoretically trigger the tie/cancellation clause, though such occurrences remain statistically rare in established collegiate competition structures.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/helleniclegends. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Spartans EU vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO2) - HLL Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/helleniclegends. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: