Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between KT Rolster Challengers and Nongshim Esports Academy in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 19 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster Challengers" if KT Rolster Challengers win the match against Nongshim Esports Academy. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Esports Academy" if Nongshim Esports Academy win the match against KT Rolster Challengers. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5) | 45% YES | 55% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 50% NO |
KT Rolster Challengers and Nongshim Esports Academy will compete in a best-of-three League of Legends match within the LCK Challengers League, scheduled for 19 May at 06:00 ET. The LCK Challengers League serves as the secondary competitive tier for Korean League of Legends, featuring academy rosters and challenger-level teams. This particular fixture falls within the opening rounds of the season, where team form remains volatile and roster adjustments from the off-season are still settling. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 45% implied probability for KT Rolster Challengers victory, suggesting near-parity with slight favour toward Nongshim.
Historical context for academy-level League of Legends matches shows significant variance in predictability. KT Rolster's main roster has historically maintained strong performance in the LCK, which typically translates to competitive academy infrastructure, though academy rosters often feature younger or less-proven players. Nongshim Esports Academy similarly benefits from the parent organisation's resources. Early-season academy matches frequently hinge on which team has better integrated new players or retained core performers from the previous season, making pre-season roster announcements critical data points.
Traders should monitor official LCK Challengers League schedule confirmations and any roster changes announced by either organisation in the days preceding the match. Injury reports or last-minute substitutions, common in academy competition, can materially shift expected performance. The settlement window closes at 16:00 ET on 19 May, providing a seven-day buffer for match completion or rescheduling before resolution criteria trigger.
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Lolita is a 1962 black comedy-psychological drama film directed by Stanley Kubrick, based on the 1955 novel by Vladimir Nabokov. The black-and-white film follows a middle-aged literature professor who develops an infatuation with an adolescent. It stars James Mason as Humbert Humbert, Shelley Winters as Mrs. Haze, Peter Sellers as Quilty, and Sue Lyon as Dol
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://play-origin.sooplive.com/afchall. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://play-origin.sooplive.com/afchall. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 19 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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