Trade: LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffs
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between Esprit Shōnen and Ici Japon Corp. Esport in the LFL Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 13 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Esprit Shōnen" if Esprit Shōnen win the match against Ici Japon Corp. Esport. This market will resolve to "Ici Japon Corp. Esport" if Ici Japon Corp. Esport win the match against Esprit Shōnen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $14K
- Total Volume
- $105
- 24h Volume
- $105
- Open Interest
- $105
Market outcomes
| Game Handicap: IJC (-1.5) vs Esprit Shōnen (+1.5) | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 27% YES | 73% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 65% YES | 36% NO |
| Match Winner | 31% YES | 69% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 37% YES | 63% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 37% YES | 64% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 46% YES | 54% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 27% YES | 74% NO |
Market context
Esprit Shōnen face Ici Japon Corp. Esport in a League of Legends lower bracket round one match within the LFL (Ligue Française de League) playoffs, scheduled for 13 May at 12:00 PM ET. The best-of-three format means the first team to win two games advances; a single elimination loss eliminates the loser from the tournament. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 51% implied probability for Esprit Shōnen, suggesting near-parity between the two squads in trader assessment.
Historical performance data from recent LFL seasons shows lower bracket matches often feature tighter margins than upper bracket contests, as teams eliminated from the winners' bracket frequently possess comparable skill levels to those entering from the losers' side. Esprit Shōnen's seeding and recent form against mid-table LFL opponents will determine whether the current 51-49 split accurately captures the matchup dynamics. Teams entering lower bracket play from different bracket positions—upper versus lower—sometimes exhibit momentum shifts that reshape conventional win-rate expectations.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions announced before the 12:00 PM ET start time, as the LFL occasionally experiences player availability changes. Recent patch updates to League of Legends, typically released fortnightly, can alter meta-dependent champion pools and team preparation timelines. Schedule adherence matters given the settlement window's 7-day cancellation clause; any postponement beyond 20 May would trigger a 50-50 resolution regardless of eventual outcome.
Wikipedia Context
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League of Legends in esportsLeague of Legends esports is the professional competition of the multiplayer online battle arena video game League of Legends. The game, released in 2009, was the first to be developed and published by Riot Games. Esports tournaments for the game began as early as 2010, most notably with the 2010 World Cyber Games when it was featured as a promotion game. In
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L'esprit de l'escalier
L'esprit de l'escalier or l'esprit d'escalier is a French term used in English for the predicament of thinking of the perfect reply too late.
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L'Esprit CréateurL'Esprit Créateur is a quarterly academic journal established in 1961 and published by the Johns Hopkins University Press. The journal is dedicated to the study of French and Francophone literature, and the literary and cultural criticism surrounding them. Each issue focuses on a specific theme or critical issue and includes reviews and illustrations. The jo
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L'Esprit NouveauL'Esprit Nouveau was a magazine founded by architect Le Corbusier, poet Paul Dermée, and painter Amédée Ozenfant in 1920.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at http://www.twitch.tv/otplol_. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$105 in lifetime turnover and $14K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $105 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from http://www.twitch.tv/otplol_. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffs"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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