Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX Challengers and Dplus KIA Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 21 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX Challengers" if Kiwoom DRX Challengers win the match against Dplus KIA Challengers. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA Challengers" if Dplus KIA Challengers win the match against Kiwoom DRX Challengers. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 53% YES | 48% NO |
| Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+1.5) | 35% YES | 66% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Kiwoom DRX Challengers face Dplus KIA Challengers in a best-of-three League of Legends match within the LCK Challengers League, scheduled for 21 May 2026 at 01:00 ET. The LCK Challengers League serves as the secondary competitive tier for South Korean League of Legends, featuring academy rosters and developing talent from organisations within the primary LCK ecosystem. Both teams represent established LCK organisations—DRX and Dplus KIA—competing for advancement and qualification points within the regional structure.
The current 49% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects substantial uncertainty between the two squads. Historical precedent in LCK Challengers matchups suggests that academy rosters from major organisations typically maintain competitive parity, with outcomes heavily dependent on roster composition, recent scrim performance, and meta alignment at the time of play. Dplus KIA's academy division has historically performed consistently within the Challengers framework, whilst DRX's secondary roster has shown variable results depending on player development cycles and institutional focus.
Traders should monitor roster announcements and any schedule changes through official LCK communications prior to the 21 May fixture. Patch updates to League of Legends between now and the match date may influence team preparation priorities and champion pool viability. Injury or unavailability of key players on either roster would constitute a material catalyst, though such information typically emerges through Korean esports reporting channels rather than mainstream outlets. The settlement window closes at 11:00 ET on match day, allowing minimal time for delayed resolution scenarios.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://play-origin.sooplive.com/afchall. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://play-origin.sooplive.com/afchall. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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