Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX and KT Rolster in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 14 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win the match against KT Rolster. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win the match against Kiwoom DRX. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 18% YES | 83% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 27% YES | 73% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 27% YES | 73% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 68% YES | 32% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 27% YES | 73% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 27% YES | 73% NO |
Kiwoom DRX and KT Rolster will face off in a League of Legends Champions Korea (LCK) best-of-three match on 14 May 2026 at 06:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices DRX's victory at 17%, implying KT Rolster as heavy favourites at 83%. This probability reflects market participants' assessment of team strength, recent form, and head-to-head dynamics entering the early LCK season rounds.
DRX has historically been a mid-to-upper-tier LCK organisation with inconsistent performances across seasons, whilst KT Rolster maintains a stronger track record in domestic competition. Recent LCK seasons have shown KT competing for playoff positions with greater consistency than DRX, though both teams' roster compositions and coaching staff changes between seasons significantly alter competitive balance. The 17% probability assigned to DRX reflects the market's view that they enter as clear underdogs, though not impossible contenders in a single best-of-three format where upsets occur at measurable frequency.
Traders should monitor roster announcements, scrim results leaking into community channels, and any last-minute substitutions before the 14 May fixture. LCK scheduling occasionally experiences delays due to technical issues or player availability, which would trigger the 7-day resolution clause. Recent LCK broadcasts have been stable, but the settlement window extends to 16:00 ET on match day, providing a 10-hour buffer for completion. Team-specific news regarding injuries, visa complications, or internal roster disputes would shift the current probability materially.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/lck. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$173 in lifetime turnover and $9K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $173 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/lck. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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