Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Deep Cross Gaming and GAM Esports in the Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 14 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Deep Cross Gaming" if Deep Cross Gaming win the match against GAM Esports. This market will resolve to "GAM Esports" if GAM Esports win the match against Deep Cross Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 37% YES | 64% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 41% YES | 59% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 41% YES | 59% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5) | 37% YES | 63% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 65% YES | 36% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 27% YES | 74% NO |
Deep Cross Gaming and GAM Esports will contest a League of Legends lower bracket semifinal in the Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs on 14 May at 05:00 ET. The winner advances to the lower bracket final; the loser is eliminated from the tournament. The match is scheduled as a best-of-three series. Current order book pricing on Polymarket implies a 37% probability of Deep Cross Gaming victory, reflecting market participants' assessment that GAM Esports enters as the favoured side.
GAM Esports has established itself as a consistent regional performer, regularly competing in Southeast Asian professional circuits and international qualifiers. Deep Cross Gaming represents a less documented roster in major tournament contexts. Historical matchups between established Vietnamese organisations and emerging challengers in qualifier tournaments typically favour the established side, particularly in lower bracket elimination rounds where preparation and experience prove decisive. The current probability weighting aligns with this pattern, though lower bracket dynamics can produce variance.
Key variables for traders include roster confirmation and recent scrim results, which occasionally surface through team social media or esports news outlets ahead of scheduled matches. Tournament scheduling changes remain possible given the compressed nature of international qualifier windows. Any roster substitutions, announced injuries, or format clarifications from Esports World Cup organisers could shift the order book significantly. The settlement window closes at the scheduled match time, creating a hard deadline for position adjustments.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://gol.gg/esports/home. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$44 in lifetime turnover and $12K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $44 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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