Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Conviction and CCG Esports in the North American Challengers League Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 5 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Conviction" if Conviction win the match against CCG Esports. This market will resolve to "CCG Esports" if CCG Esports win the match against Conviction. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Game 1 Winner | 64% YES | 36% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 64% YES | 37% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 63% YES | 38% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 55% YES | 45% NO |
| Match Winner | 75% YES | 26% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 67% YES | 33% NO |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 30% YES | 70% NO |
| Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5) | 54% YES | 47% NO |
The North American Challengers League Grand Final will pit Conviction against CCG Esports in a best-of-five match, originally scheduled for 5 June at 4:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices Conviction at 64% implied probability, reflecting market participants' assessment that Conviction enters as favourites. The settlement window closes on 6 June at 02:00 UTC, allowing a one-day buffer for fixture completion or rescheduling before the market resolves.
Conviction's positioning at two-to-one odds reflects their seeding and regular season performance relative to CCG Esports, though the Challengers League remains a competitive tier where upsets occur with regularity. Historical precedent suggests that best-of-five formats in regional League of Legends playoffs typically favour teams with stronger macro play and consistency across multiple games, rather than single-game variance. The 64% probability indicates the market views Conviction as the more complete team, though not overwhelmingly so—a gap consistent with competitive matchups where preparation and form matter significantly.
Traders should monitor official Riot Games announcements regarding any schedule changes, player availability, or technical issues that could affect fixture timing. The one-week delay clause in the resolution criteria creates a tail risk if either organisation faces unexpected disruptions. Recent roster announcements or scrim results, if reported by esports news outlets, could shift the probability materially. The tight settlement window means any fixture delay beyond 6 June at 02:00 UTC would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, introducing binary risk for positions held through that deadline.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/NACL. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$19 in lifetime turnover and $17K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $19 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/NACL. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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