Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Barcząca Esports and Forsaken in the Rift Legends Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 19 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Barcząca Esports" if Barcząca Esports win the match against Forsaken. This market will resolve to "Forsaken" if Forsaken win the match against Barcząca Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 61% YES | 39% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Game Handicap: FSK (-1.5) vs Barcząca Esports (+1.5) | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Barcząca Esports will face Forsaken in a best-of-three League of Legends match within the Rift Legends Regular Season on 19 May at 16:00 UTC. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 61% implied probability for a Barcząca victory, suggesting the market views them as moderate favourites despite limited historical data on direct matchups between these rosters in this particular league format. The settlement window closes at 21:00 UTC on match day, allowing approximately five hours post-completion for resolution.
Rift Legends remains a relatively nascent competitive circuit, which constrains the depth of comparative analysis available to traders. Teams competing in emerging regional leagues often exhibit volatility in performance based on roster stability, scrim results, and meta adaptation rather than established track records. The 61% probability sits between clear favouritism and genuine competitive uncertainty, suggesting the market has incorporated available information about both teams' recent form without overwhelming confidence in either direction.
Traders should monitor official Rift Legends scheduling announcements for any postponements or format changes, as the seven-day delay clause creates a resolution boundary worth tracking. Roster changes or injury announcements in the days preceding the match could shift the order book materially. The match's timing on a weekday morning in Eastern Time may also affect viewership and subsequent information flow compared to weekend fixtures, potentially influencing how quickly market consensus adjusts to any pre-match developments.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/nervarien. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Forsaken (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $982 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/nervarien. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 19 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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