Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Honor of Kings Lower bracket round 1 match between Qing Jiu Club and EDward Gaming in the Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 2, initially scheduled for May 10 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Qing Jiu Club" if Qing Jiu Club win the match against EDward Gaming. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against Qing Jiu Club. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 5 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 6 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Qing Jiu Club face EDward Gaming in a lower bracket first-round match of the Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 2, scheduled for 10 May at 7:00 AM ET. The match is a best-of-seven series, meaning the first team to win four games advances. The current orderbook on Polymarket shows zero probability assigned to a Qing Jiu Club victory, reflecting either strong market conviction in EDward Gaming's superiority or minimal liquidity in this particular pairing.
Honor of Kings competitive fixtures at the Challenger Cup level typically feature regional Chinese teams competing for promotion and prize money. Historical resolution patterns for similar lower-bracket matches show that upsets occur but remain uncommon when one team enters as a clear favourite. The 0% implied probability suggests the market has priced in EDward Gaming as a substantial favourite, though such extreme probabilities often reflect thin order books rather than absolute certainty in esports matchups where variance remains material.
Traders should monitor official tournament announcements from TiMi Studio or the organising body for any schedule changes, roster confirmations, or injury disclosures in the days preceding 10 May. The settlement window closes at 17:10 UTC on the scheduled date, providing a seven-day buffer for delayed matches. Any cancellation, tie result, or match extending beyond 17 May will trigger a 50-50 resolution. Recent competitive form, scrim results, and patch changes affecting champion viability in the weeks before the fixture will influence whether the current extreme probability holds.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MdE87nkPRsA. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Honor of Kings: Qing Jiu Club vs EDward Gaming (BO7) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 2" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$808 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MdE87nkPRsA. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: