Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the winner of the DreamLeague Season 29 tournament, currently scheduled for May 13th - May 24th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/dreamleague/).
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Xtreme Gaming | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| PARIVISION | 45% YES | 55% NO |
| Team Falcons | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| Virtus.pro | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| BetBoom Team | 58% YES | 42% NO |
| Vici Gaming | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| ex-HEROIC | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Nigma Galaxy | 48% YES | 53% NO |
DreamLeague Season 29 is a premier Dota 2 tournament organised by ESL, scheduled to run from 13–24 May 2026 with a settlement window extending to 25 May. The tournament format typically features sixteen of the world's top professional teams competing in a group stage followed by playoffs, with the winner determined by standard elimination brackets. The current 48% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects substantial uncertainty about which team will claim the title, suggesting the market perceives multiple contenders as viable winners rather than a dominant favourite.
Historical DreamLeague seasons have seen victory distributed across several tier-one organisations, with no single team establishing consistent dominance across consecutive editions. Teams like OG, Team Liquid, and PSG.LGD have each won DreamLeague titles in recent years, though roster changes and meta shifts between seasons create significant unpredictability. The 48% probability aligns with markets for open tournaments where four to six teams genuinely compete for the trophy, rather than reflecting a clear favourite or underdog scenario.
Traders should monitor roster announcements and team composition confirmations through March and April 2026, as last-minute transfers or stand-in arrangements can materially affect competitive strength. The Dota 2 competitive calendar leading into May will establish form and momentum, with teams' performances at preceding Majors providing crucial data. Any postponement announcements after 31 May would trigger the "Other" resolution, though ESL's track record suggests on-time delivery is likely given the compressed May schedule.
DreamHack Winter 2017 was an eSports and gaming convention event that was held in Jönköping, Sweden from December 1–4, 2017. The event hosted several eSports tournaments of multiple disciplines, such as Counter-Strike: Global Offensive, Dota 2,, H1Z1, Hearthstone, Quake Champions, and Super Smash Bros. Melee.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "DreamLeague Season 29: Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$23 in lifetime turnover and $775 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 25 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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