Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Final match between Execration and REKONIX in the Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 5 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Execration" if Execration win the match against REKONIX. This market will resolve to "REKONIX" if REKONIX win the match against Execration. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Game 1 Winner | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 59% YES | 41% NO |
| Match Winner | 31% YES | 69% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 46% YES | 54% NO |
| Game Handicap: RNX (-1.5) vs Execration (+1.5) | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 33% YES | 68% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 29% YES | 71% NO |
The Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs will determine which teams advance from the lower bracket, with Execration and REKONIX competing in a best-of-three final scheduled for 5 June at 12:00 AM ET. The winner secures progression in the qualifier pathway towards the broader Esports World Cup circuit. Polymarket's current order book reflects a 51% implied probability for Execration, suggesting near-parity between the two squads in trader assessment.
Execration has established itself as a consistent Southeast Asian Dota 2 competitor, regularly appearing in regional qualifiers and international events, whilst REKONIX represents a challenger squad within the same competitive ecosystem. Historical lower-bracket finals in regional Dota 2 qualifiers typically favour teams with established tournament infrastructure and recent LAN experience, though upsets remain common when squads possess comparable mechanical skill. The tight 51-49 split on Polymarket suggests traders view this matchup as genuinely competitive rather than heavily weighted towards either side's historical precedent.
Key variables affecting settlement include roster stability through to match day, any last-minute schedule adjustments, and performance in preceding qualifier rounds that may signal current form. The settlement window closes 7 days post-scheduled date, meaning delays beyond 12 June would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Traders should monitor official Esports World Cup communications and team announcements for roster changes or technical issues that could influence match conditions, particularly given the early morning ET timing which occasionally creates scheduling complications for Southeast Asian events.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/betboom_dota_ru4. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$6K in lifetime turnover and $34K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $6K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/betboom_dota_ru4. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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