Trade the outcome below — no house edge, instant USDC settlement on Polygon
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Yandex and Tundra Esports in the BLAST Slam Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 28 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win the match against Tundra Esports. This market will resolve to "Tundra Esports" if Tundra Esports win the match against Team Yandex. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
Real-money prediction markets aggregate live odds from thousands of traders, surfacing a sharper probability than any single forecast. Odds will populate live once the order book fills resolving today, backed by $190K of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 10% YES | 90% NO |
Team Yandex face Tundra Esports in a best-of-one Dota 2 match during the BLAST Slam Group Stage, scheduled for 28 May 2026 at 05:10 UTC. The 99% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects substantial backing for Team Yandex, with the current spread suggesting minimal uncertainty around match completion and outcome. This probability has formed through active trading on the book, where buyers of Yandex shares have driven the price to near-ceiling levels.
Tundra Esports has established itself as a consistent top-tier competitor in professional Dota 2, regularly contesting major tournaments and maintaining a strong win rate against regional opposition. Team Yandex, by contrast, operates at a lower competitive tier within the CIS region. Historical matchups between teams of this calibre differential typically see the favoured side win 85–95% of the time in group-stage formats, though upsets remain possible in single-elimination rounds where preparation asymmetries can matter significantly.
Traders should monitor official BLAST and tournament organisers' communications for any schedule changes, player roster confirmations, or technical issues that could delay the match beyond the 7-day resolution window. Recent Dota 2 tournaments have experienced occasional fixture rescheduling due to visa complications or equipment failures. The settlement window closes 28 May at 15:10 UTC, providing a 10-hour buffer after the scheduled start time to accommodate standard match duration and administrative processing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/BLASTDotaB. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 28 May 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Because this market resolves from a publicly verifiable feed (https://www.twitch.tv/BLASTDotaB), the probability of dispute is materially lower than the overall 0.5% PolyGram baseline — most disputes occur on markets with ambiguous wording or non-public resolution sources.
Withdrawal pace from your PolyGram balance is non-custodial and immediate — once payout clears, funds are yours to send to any Polygon wallet you control. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage", order-book behaviour for this market reflects the underlying volatility of the outcome — patient limit orders typically fill closer to mid than market orders.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($190K of resting liquidity), a $500 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$489K in lifetime turnover and $190K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $489K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/BLASTDotaB. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 28 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage", the considerations above apply directly — Trade size should reflect the binary nature of the payoff: even a 70% probability event resolves NO 30% of the time, so any single position can lose 100% of staked capital.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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