Trade: Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between Two Move and Power Rangers in the European Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 12 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Two Move" if Two Move win the match against Power Rangers. This market will resolve to "Power Rangers" if Power Rangers win the match against Two Move. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $17K
- Total Volume
- $101
- 24h Volume
- $101
- Open Interest
- $79
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 60% YES | 41% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 46% YES | 55% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Two Move (+1.5) | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Market context
Two Move and Power Rangers will contest the European Pro League Playoffs grand final in Dota 2, a best-of-five series scheduled for 12 May at 05:00 ET. The winner claims the regional title and associated prize pool allocation. On Polymarket's order book, the current crowd-implied probability sits at 46% for Two Move, suggesting modest favouring of Power Rangers at the implied 54% level. This probability reflects real-time trading activity and represents the marginal price at which the last matched orders occurred.
European Dota 2 competition has historically favoured teams with established mid-game coordination and stable roster continuity. Two Move and Power Rangers' respective playoff runs provide the primary reference points: teams reaching grand finals typically demonstrate consistency across the regular season and knockout stages, though upsets remain common in best-of-five formats where draft flexibility and mental resilience determine outcomes. Recent European qualifiers have shown competitive depth, with no single team dominating convincingly.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding player health, stand-in availability, or last-minute roster changes in the days preceding the match. Fixture scheduling confirmations and any official communications from the European Pro League will clarify whether the 05:00 ET start time holds. Pre-match scrimmage results, if leaked, occasionally shift market sentiment, though their predictive value remains disputed. The settlement window closes at 15:00 UTC on 12 May, allowing approximately ten hours post-match for result confirmation before resolution.
Wikipedia Context
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Dota 2Dota 2 is a 2013 multiplayer online battle arena (MOBA) video game by Valve. The game is a sequel to Defense of the Ancients (DotA), a community-created mod for Blizzard Entertainment's Warcraft III: Reign of Chaos. Dota 2 is played in matches between two teams of five players, with each team occupying and defending their own separate base on the map. Each o
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DOTA-TATEDOTA-TATE is an eight amino acid long peptide, with a covalently bonded DOTA bifunctional chelator.
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Donna TroyDonna Troy is a superhero appearing in American comic books published by DC Comics. She is the original Wonder Girl, and later temporarily adopts another alias, Troia. Created by Bob Haney and Bruno Premiani, she first appeared in The Brave and the Bold #60 as Wonder Woman's younger sister and protégée, joining the Teen Titans during their second adventure.
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Dota Pro CircuitThe Dota Pro Circuit (DPC) was the professional league used in Dota 2, a competitive five-on-five video game. Active between 2017 and 2023, the DPC was organized by the game's developer, Valve and consisted of seasonal "Major" tournaments and Regional Leagues from North America, South America, Southeast Asia, China, Eastern Europe, and Western Europe. Points
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/epldota_en2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$101 in lifetime turnover and $17K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $101 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/epldota_en2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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