Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between GamerLegion and Ignite in the Esports World Cup North America Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 4 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win the match against Ignite. This market will resolve to "Ignite" if Ignite win the match against GamerLegion. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs Ignite (+1.5) | 100% YES | 1% NO |
GamerLegion and Ignite will contest the grand final of the Esports World Cup North America Closed Qualifier Playoffs in Dota 2, a best-of-five series scheduled for 4 June at 4:00 PM ET. The winner secures qualification for the broader Esports World Cup tournament. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for match completion, indicating traders are pricing near-certainty that the fixture will be played and resolved to a winner rather than cancelled, delayed beyond seven days, or ending in a tie.
Dota 2 grand finals at qualifier stages historically proceed as scheduled absent extraordinary circumstances. Both organisations have established infrastructure and sponsorship backing, reducing cancellation risk. Recent North American Dota 2 qualifiers have maintained fixture integrity despite occasional technical delays that resolved within the same day. The 100% probability reflects confidence in standard operational execution rather than predictive certainty about either team's performance.
Traders should monitor official ESL or tournament communications for any schedule changes, venue issues, or roster complications in the days preceding 4 June. Technical delays during the match itself—common in online Dota 2 play—would not trigger the 50-50 resolution unless they extend beyond seven days without completion. Fixture confirmation typically arrives 24–48 hours before scheduled start time. Any announcement of postponement or cancellation would immediately shift market dynamics away from the current consensus pricing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/ewc_plus_en. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Ignite (BO5) - Esports World Cup North America Closed Qualifier Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$21K in lifetime turnover and $133K of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $21K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/ewc_plus_en. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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