Esports

Trade: Dota 2: D family vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Round 1 match between D family and Mentality Monster in the Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 4 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "D family" if D family win the match against Mentality Monster. This market will resolve to "Mentality Monster" if Mentality Monster win the match against D family. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$5K
Total Volume
$1K
24h Volume
$1K
Open Interest
$1K
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Market outcomes

Game 1 Winner 47% YES53% NO
Game 2 Winner 51% YES49% NO
Match Winner 43% YES57% NO
O/U 2.5 Games 50% YES50% NO
Game Handicap: Mentality Monster (-1.5) vs D family (+1.5) 49% YES52% NO
Game Handicap: Dfam (-1.5) vs Mentality Monster (+1.5) 38% YES62% NO
Ends in Daytime 51% YES50% NO
Both Teams Beat Roshan 32% YES69% NO

Market context

D family and Mentality Monster are set to compete in the lower bracket round one of the Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs, a best-of-three Dota 2 match scheduled for 4 June at 12:00 AM ET. The winner advances in the regional qualifier pathway toward the broader Esports World Cup circuit. The current orderbook on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating substantial uncertainty amongst traders regarding which team will secure the series victory.

Southeast Asian Dota 2 qualifiers typically feature volatile outcomes given the region's competitive depth and the variable preparation levels of mid-tier organisations. D family and Mentality Monster occupy similar tiers within the regional hierarchy, making head-to-head matchups difficult to forecast without recent form data or roster changes. Historical precedent suggests that lower bracket matches between evenly-matched Southeast Asian squads often hinge on patch familiarity and recent scrim performance rather than raw skill disparity, factors that remain opaque to external observers until match day.

Traders should monitor official Esports World Cup announcements for any schedule adjustments, roster confirmations, or withdrawal notices in the days preceding 4 June. Recent patch updates to Dota 2 can significantly alter team preparation timelines and strategic viability. The settlement window closes at 10:00 AM ET on 4 June, allowing only a narrow window for match resolution; any delay beyond seven days from the scheduled date will trigger a 50-50 resolution regardless of eventual outcome.

Wikipedia Context

  • The Doll Family
    The Doll Family

    The Doll Family was an American quartet of sibling entertainers with dwarfism from Stolpen, Germany. They were popular performers in circuses and sideshows in the United States from the mid-1910s until their retirement in 1958. The family members—Gracie, Harry, Daisy and Tiny—also appeared briefly in films; they were best known as members of The Munchkins in

  • Doria (family)
    Doria (family)

    The House of Doria originally de Auria, meaning "the sons of Auria", and then de Oria or d'Oria, is an old and extremely wealthy Genoese family who played a major role in the history of the Republic of Genoa and in Italy, from the 12th century to the 16th century. Numerous members of the dynasty ruled the republic first as Capitano del popolo and later as Do

  • DNA Family Secrets
    DNA Family Secrets

    DNA Family Secrets is a British television series which began airing on BBC Two in March 2021. The programme is presented by Stacey Dooley and geneticist, Professor Turi King, and uses the latest DNA technology to solve family mysteries around ancestry, missing relatives and genetic disease. The second series began airing on 11 May 2022.

  • Doar family

    Doar is the surname of an aristocratic family in the southern United States. Prior to the American Civil War, Doar family members were among the largest landowners in the South.

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/betboom_dota_ru4. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: D family vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Play" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$1K in lifetime turnover and $5K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

Last 24 hours alone saw $1K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/betboom_dota_ru4. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "Dota 2: D family vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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