Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Walczaki and BET-M 33 in the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 9 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Walczaki" if Walczaki win the match against BET-M 33. This market will resolve to "BET-M 33" if BET-M 33 win the match against Walczaki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs BET-M 33 (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
A Counter-Strike quarterfinal between Walczaki and BET-M 33 is scheduled for 9 May 2026 as part of the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs. The match is a best-of-three format with a settlement window closing at 17:00 UTC on the event date. Currently, Polymarket's order book shows 0% implied probability for a Walczaki victory, indicating either minimal trading activity or strong consensus favouring BET-M 33. The current pricing reflects the opening state of the market; as match time approaches and more traders engage with the order book, the spread and probability estimates will likely adjust based on team roster confirmations, recent form, and betting patterns across other esports venues.
Historical precedent in European Counter-Strike playoffs suggests that seeding and recent LAN performance heavily influence match outcomes. Teams entering quarterfinals typically carry momentum from qualifying rounds, and upsets remain statistically uncommon when one side enters as the clear favourite. The 0% reading on Walczaki should be interpreted as either a reflection of substantial pre-match intelligence favouring BET-M 33, or simply the absence of contrarian traders willing to back Walczaki at unfavourable odds.
Key catalysts include any roster changes or stand-in announcements in the days before 9 May, official confirmation of the match proceeding on schedule, and updates from the BC Game Masters organisers regarding format or timing adjustments. Traders should monitor esports news outlets and team social media for injury reports or last-minute withdrawals, either of which could trigger a market repricing or potential cancellation resolution under the 50-50 tie clause.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/bcgamemastersb. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$4K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/bcgamemastersb. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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