Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between The Huns Esports and Fisher College in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "The Huns Esports" if The Huns Esports win the match against Fisher College. This market will resolve to "Fisher College" if Fisher College win the match against The Huns Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 75% YES | 26% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 66% YES | 35% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 70% YES | 31% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 40% YES | 61% NO |
| Map Handicap: THE (-1.5) vs Fisher College (+1.5) | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
The Huns Esports face Fisher College in a Counter-Strike best-of-three match during PGL Astana's group stage, scheduled for 11 May at 10:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 73% implied probability favouring The Huns, suggesting market participants view this as a moderately lopsided fixture. Settlement occurs at 20:00 UTC on 11 May, allowing roughly ten hours post-match for resolution.
The Huns Esports, based in Mongolia, have competed in regional and international Counter-Strike tournaments with mixed results against established sides. Fisher College, representing a US-based institution, typically fields younger rosters in competitive circuits. Historical matchups between regional Asian teams and North American college programmes show considerable variance; outcomes depend heavily on current roster composition, recent bootcamp performance, and map pool preparation rather than institutional prestige alone. The 73% probability suggests the market has identified The Huns as favourites, though not overwhelmingly so.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup changes before the 10:00 AM ET start, as substitutions can materially shift competitive balance. PGL's official schedule and any weather or technical delays affecting the tournament venue warrant attention. The seven-day tie-break clause means matches delayed beyond 18 May without resolution trigger a 50-50 settlement, creating tail risk for positions held through extended postponements. Recent tournament results from both teams, if published by esports news outlets, would clarify whether current odds reflect the latest competitive data.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/PGL. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$82K in lifetime turnover and $123K of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $82K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/PGL. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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