Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between SE7ENS Esport and XI Esport in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 6 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "SE7ENS Esport" if SE7ENS Esport win the match against XI Esport. This market will resolve to "XI Esport" if XI Esport win the match against SE7ENS Esport. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 25% YES | 75% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 51% YES | 50% NO |
SE7ENS Esport and XI Esport are scheduled to compete in a best-of-one Counter-Strike match within the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, with the fixture originally set for 6 May at 2:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices SE7ENS at 30% implied probability, suggesting XI Esport are favoured at 70%. This probability reflects real-time trading activity and represents the aggregate assessment of market participants holding positions at various price levels.
ESEA Advanced Europe operates as a competitive ladder for mid-tier European Counter-Strike teams, sitting below the Pro League tier. Historical context matters here: teams in this division experience significant roster volatility and inconsistent preparation between matches. XI Esport have established themselves as a more consistent performer in this bracket, whilst SE7ENS have shown variable form. The 70-30 split aligns with typical market pricing for matches where one team holds a documented competitive edge, though the compressed odds suggest meaningful uncertainty rather than overwhelming dominance.
Traders should monitor roster announcements or stand-in declarations in the days preceding 6 May, as player availability directly impacts match outcomes at this competitive level. The settlement window extends to 11 May, providing a five-day buffer beyond the scheduled date; any postponement beyond this window without completion triggers a 50-50 resolution. Recent ESEA fixture data and team performance metrics from the current season will be accessible through official league standings, offering concrete reference points for assessing whether current market pricing reflects available information or contains exploitable gaps.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://hltv.org. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: SE7ENS Esport vs XI Esport (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$683 in lifetime turnover and $351 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $645 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://hltv.org. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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