Esports

Trade: Counter-Strike: SAW vs G2 Ares (BO1) - Esplay Elite Gaming Group B

Opened 29 April 2026 · Settles 2 May 2026

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between SAW and G2 Ares in the Esplay Elite Gaming Group B, initially scheduled for May 1 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "SAW" if SAW win the match against G2 Ares. This market will resolve to "G2 Ares" if G2 Ares win the match against SAW. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity: —
Total Volume: $11K
24h Volume: —
Open Interest: $7K

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Market outcomes

Match Winner	0% YES	100% NO
Odd/Even Total Kills	100% YES	0% NO
Odd/Even Total Rounds	0% YES	100% NO

Market context

SAW and G2 Ares are scheduled to compete in a best-of-one Counter-Strike match within the Esplay Elite Gaming Group B on 1 May at 6:00PM ET. The match forms part of a competitive grouping that will determine advancement within the tournament structure. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for SAW victory, indicating that traders are pricing G2 Ares as the overwhelming favourite to win this encounter.

G2 Ares operates as the academy or secondary roster for the G2 Esports organisation, which typically fields experienced players and benefits from institutional backing and coaching infrastructure. SAW, by contrast, represents a smaller regional competitor. Historical precedent in academy versus regional team matchups shows that organisational resources and player calibre often correlate with match outcomes, though upsets remain possible in single-map formats where variance plays a larger role than in best-of-three series.

Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup changes in the days preceding 1 May, as these can materially shift competitive balance. The settlement window extends to 2 May at 04:35:00Z, providing a narrow window for match completion; any delay beyond 7 days triggers a 50-50 resolution. Recent fixture cancellations or postponements within regional Counter-Strike tournaments have been rare, but technical issues or unforeseen circumstances remain possible catalysts that could affect settlement. Current pricing suggests the market has already incorporated G2 Ares' structural advantages, leaving limited room for SAW value unless new information emerges regarding team preparation or roster status.

Wikipedia Context

Counter-Strike Major Championships
Counter-Strike Major Championships, commonly known as the Majors, are Counter-Strike (CS) esports tournaments sponsored by Valve, the game's developer. The first Valve-recognized Major took place in 2013 in Jönköping, Sweden and was hosted by DreamHack with a total prize pool of US$250,000 split among 16 teams. This, along with the following 19 Majors, was p
Counter-Strike: Source
Counter-Strike: Source is a tactical first-person shooter video game developed by Valve and Turtle Rock Studios. Released in October 2004 for Windows, it is a remake of Counter-Strike (2000) using the Source game engine. As in the original, Counter-Strike: Source pits a team of counter-terrorists against a team of terrorists in a series of rounds. Each round
Counter-Strike match-fixing scandal
The Counter-Strike match-fixing scandal was a 2014 match fixing scandal in the North American professional scene of Counter-Strike: Global Offensive (CS:GO). It involved a match between two teams, iBUYPOWER and NetCodeGuides.com, where questionable and unsportsmanlike performance from the team iBUYPOWER, then considered the best North American team, drew su
Counter-Strike surfing
Counter-Strike surfing is a modded game mode based on the Counter-Strike series of first-person shooter video games. Consisting of custom-created obstacle course levels known as surf maps, players make use of a physics engine glitch to float along inclined planes while propelling themselves forward at high speeds in a manner resembling surfing. Accidentally

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/roman. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: SAW vs G2 Ares (BO1) - Esplay Elite Gaming Group B" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$11K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share: A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB: Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity: USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle: The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage: The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token: ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/roman. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "Counter-Strike: SAW vs G2 Ares (BO1) - Esplay Elite Gaming Group B"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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