Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Elimination match between RED Canids Academy and Red Feet in the Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A, initially scheduled for April 29 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "RED Canids Academy" if RED Canids Academy win the match against Red Feet. This market will resolve to "Red Feet" if Red Feet win the match against RED Canids Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
RED Canids Academy faces Red Feet in a best-of-three Counter-Strike elimination match within the Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A, scheduled for 29 April at 6:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating the market perceives this as a genuine toss-up between the two Brazilian squads. This even pricing suggests traders lack strong conviction about either team's superiority, or that information asymmetries are minimal heading into the fixture.
RED Canids Academy operates as the academy roster for the established RED Canids organisation, typically fielding younger or developing talent, whilst Red Feet competes as an independent entity within the same regional circuit. Historical matchups between academy sides and established independent teams in Liga Série A have shown variable outcomes depending on roster composition and recent form. Academy teams occasionally outperform expectations when fielding promising prospects, though they can struggle against more cohesive lineups with tournament experience.
Traders should monitor roster announcements and any last-minute substitutions in the days preceding 29 April, as player availability directly impacts Counter-Strike performance. Recent form data from Liga Série A standings and head-to-head records will clarify whether the 50-50 pricing reflects genuine parity or incomplete information. The settlement window extends to 30 April at 04:15 UTC, allowing a 22-hour buffer beyond the scheduled start time; matches delayed beyond seven days without resolution trigger a 50-50 settlement, creating a specific risk boundary for position holders.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://hltv.org. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs Red Feet (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://hltv.org. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 30 April 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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