Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between QUAZAR and Banger Gang in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 13 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "QUAZAR" if QUAZAR win the match against Banger Gang. This market will resolve to "Banger Gang" if Banger Gang win the match against QUAZAR. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
QUAZAR and Banger Gang are scheduled to contest a best-of-one Counter-Strike match within the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season on 13 May at 2:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for QUAZAR victory, indicating that traders are pricing an overwhelming likelihood of a Banger Gang win or match non-completion. This extreme skew suggests either substantial confidence in Banger Gang's superiority or significant uncertainty regarding fixture execution.
ESEA Advanced Europe matches historically exhibit completion rates above 95%, though fixture delays and cancellations do occur within the competitive Counter-Strike calendar. The 50-50 resolution clause for matches delayed beyond seven days or unplayed entirely represents material tail risk; traders should note that the settlement window extends to 14 May at 00:15 UTC, allowing a narrow window for rescheduling before resolution triggers. Comparable fixtures between established rosters in this division typically see tighter probability distributions unless roster changes, player absences, or administrative issues surface beforehand.
Traders should monitor ESEA's official fixture announcements and team social media channels for any withdrawal notices, player availability statements, or schedule amendments in the 24 hours preceding the match. Recent competitive Counter-Strike has seen occasional fixture disruptions due to visa complications and player illness; confirmation of both teams' readiness closer to kickoff will be critical for validating the current market pricing. The absence of any publicly reported complications as of the market's opening suggests the extreme probability reflects genuine performance expectation rather than execution risk.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/theeb1ye. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$155 in lifetime turnover and $6K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $155 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/theeb1ye. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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