Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Partizan Esport and Clutchain in the Exort Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Partizan Esport" if Partizan Esport win the match against Clutchain. This market will resolve to "Clutchain" if Clutchain win the match against Partizan Esport. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: PAR (-1.5) vs Clutchain (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Match Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Partizan Esport will face Clutchain in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during the opening round of the Exort Series Playoffs, scheduled for 15 May at 19:30 UTC. The current orderbook on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating genuine uncertainty amongst traders regarding which team will advance. Settlement occurs by 16 May at 00:30 UTC, allowing a narrow window for match completion before resolution.
Partizan Esport competes as a Serbian organisation with established presence in regional Counter-Strike competitions, whilst Clutchain represents a smaller roster with less consistent tournament visibility. Historical precedent in Exort Series events suggests that established regional teams typically maintain slight advantages in opening-round matchups, though the 50-50 pricing indicates the market has not yet priced in any structural favouritism. Recent roster changes or stand-in players for either team would materially shift expectations, as would confirmation of map selections prior to match start.
Key variables traders should monitor include official confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled, any last-minute roster announcements, and whether either team has published recent scrim results or public practice footage. Delays beyond the seven-day window would trigger a 50-50 resolution regardless of competitive outcome. The tight settlement window means that any technical issues during the match—disconnections, server problems, or incomplete series—carry elevated resolution risk and should factor into position sizing decisions.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://hltv.org. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Partizan Esport vs Clutchain (BO3) - Exort Series Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://hltv.org. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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