Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between Oxuji Esports and Bebop in the NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A, initially scheduled for May 2 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Oxuji Esports" if Oxuji Esports win the match against Bebop. This market will resolve to "Bebop" if Bebop win the match against Oxuji Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: BBP (-1.5) vs Oxuji Esports (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Oxuji Esports and Bebop are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three Counter-Strike decider match within the NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A on 2 May at 4:00 AM ET. The winner advances from the play-in stage, making this a consequential fixture for both rosters' tournament progression. The match settlement window closes at 14:00 UTC on 2 May, allowing approximately ten hours post-scheduled start for completion and resolution.
The 50–50 implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects genuine uncertainty between two relatively evenly-matched regional competitors. NODWIN tournaments typically attract Indian and South Asian Counter-Strike talent, where roster stability and recent LAN performance carry significant weight. Bebop and Oxuji lack the established track records of tier-one European or North American organisations, making historical head-to-head records sparse; traders should assess recent online qualifier results and any roster changes announced in the preceding weeks as primary differentiators.
Key catalysts include official confirmation of both rosters' final lineups, any last-minute substitutions or stand-in announcements, and schedule adherence given the early morning ET timing. Traders should monitor NODWIN's official channels and the teams' social media for withdrawal notices or technical issues that could trigger the tie-resolution clause. Fixture delays beyond seven days without completion would also resolve the market to 50–50, creating tail-risk exposure for positions taken at current odds.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/nodwin_cs2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Bebop (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$127 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/nodwin_cs2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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