Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Nuclear TigeRES and Eternal Fire in the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nuclear TigeRES" if Nuclear TigeRES win the match against Eternal Fire. This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire" if Eternal Fire win the match against Nuclear TigeRES. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Match Winner | 65% YES | 36% NO |
Nuclear TigeRES and Eternal Fire will compete in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage on 12 May at 07:00 ET. The fixture represents a Round 3 encounter where both teams vie for progression within the tournament's group phase structure. Settlement occurs at 17:00 UTC on the scheduled date, with the market resolving to whichever team secures the match victory.
The 50-50 implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects genuine uncertainty between two rosters with comparable recent form in tier-two competitive Counter-Strike. Nuclear TigeRES and Eternal Fire occupy similar competitive tiers, with neither team possessing dominant head-to-head records or recent tournament results that would justify material probability skew. Historical matchups between similarly-ranked squads in NODWIN-sanctioned events typically settle near even odds absent roster changes or recent performance divergence. The current crowd probability suggests traders view this as a genuine toss-up.
Key catalysts for traders include official roster confirmations from both organisations, which can shift odds if substitutions occur before match day. Tournament scheduling announcements from NODWIN may reveal bracket positioning or seeding implications that affect team motivation. Monitor esports news outlets for injury reports or last-minute roster adjustments in the 48 hours preceding the fixture. The settlement window's seven-day cancellation clause creates tail risk; any postponement beyond 19 May without completion triggers a 50-50 resolution regardless of match status.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/nodwin_cs2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$6 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $6 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/nodwin_cs2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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