Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between Legacy and NRG in the CS Asia Championships Group A, initially scheduled for May 19 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against NRG. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win the match against Legacy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 65% YES | 35% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 51% YES | 50% NO |
Legacy and NRG face off in an upper bracket quarterfinal best-of-one match at the CS Asia Championships Group A, scheduled for 19 May at 11:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices Legacy at 65% implied probability, reflecting moderate confidence in their victory. This pricing suggests the market views Legacy as a slight favourite, though the single-map format introduces considerable variance compared to best-of-three series where team consistency becomes more pronounced.
Historical precedent for Southeast Asian Counter-Strike competitions shows that map selection and recent form carry outsized weight in BO1 encounters. Legacy's regional standing and recent tournament results relative to NRG's current roster composition will substantially influence the probability trajectory. Teams with established map pools and recent LAN experience typically command higher odds in single-elimination formats, where preparation depth matters more than series resilience.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup changes through official CS Asia Championships communications, as substitutions can shift win probabilities meaningfully. Map pool announcements and recent scrim results between the two organisations, if disclosed publicly, may trigger order book movement. The settlement window closes 20 May at 09:00 UTC, providing a 22-hour buffer beyond the scheduled match time. Fixture delays or cancellations remain possible given regional tournament infrastructure variables, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause if no winner emerges within seven days.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/pgl. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$96 in lifetime turnover and $5K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/pgl. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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