Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Lavked and MANA eSports in the European Pro League Series 7 Group B, initially scheduled for June 5 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Lavked" if Lavked win the match against MANA eSports. This market will resolve to "MANA eSports" if MANA eSports win the match against Lavked. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map 1 Winner | 64% YES | 37% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 64% YES | 37% NO |
| Match Winner | 71% YES | 30% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs MANA eSports (+1.5) | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Lavked (-3.5) vs MANA eSports (+3.5) | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
Lavked and MANA eSports are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match on 5 June 2026 at 04:00 ET as part of European Pro League Series 7 Group B. The current order book on Polymarket prices Lavked at 64% implied probability, reflecting modest favouritism amongst traders. Settlement occurs at the scheduled match time, with provisions for a 50-50 split if the fixture is cancelled, postponed beyond seven days without completion, or ends in a tie.
European Pro League Series typically feature established rosters competing at consistent skill levels, making historical head-to-head records and recent LAN placements reliable indicators of match outcomes. Teams' performance trajectories in the weeks preceding the fixture—particularly map pool adjustments, roster stability, and results against common opponents—have historically correlated strongly with upset probabilities. A 64% probability suggests the market perceives Lavked as the stronger side, though not overwhelmingly so; this range typically reflects either a slight skill gap or meaningful uncertainty around team form.
Traders should monitor official EPL announcements regarding final roster confirmations, any last-minute stand-in requirements, or schedule changes. Recent player transfers or injury disclosures in the competitive Counter-Strike scene can shift match dynamics substantially. The timing at 04:00 ET may also affect performance variance, particularly if either team operates across multiple time zones. Fixture cancellations remain uncommon in established leagues, though technical issues or unforeseen circumstances could trigger the 50-50 resolution clause.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/eplcs_en. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group B" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$7K in lifetime turnover and $33K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $7K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/eplcs_en. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: