Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between JiJieHao and TYLOO in the Asian Champions League Group A, initially scheduled for May 16 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "JiJieHao" if JiJieHao win the match against TYLOO. This market will resolve to "TYLOO" if TYLOO win the match against JiJieHao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 54% YES | 47% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 40% YES | 60% NO |
| Map Handicap: JJH (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) | 34% YES | 66% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
JiJieHao and TYLOO are scheduled to compete in a Counter-Strike best-of-three match within the Asian Champions League Group A on 16 May at 04:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 55% implied probability for JiJieHao victory, suggesting marginal favouritism despite both teams operating at comparable competitive levels within the Asian Counter-Strike circuit. Settlement occurs at 14:00 UTC on the scheduled date, with a seven-day grace period for delayed matches before resolution defaults to 50-50.
Historical precedent in Asian Counter-Strike tournaments shows that group-stage matches between established regional competitors typically resolve along skill-based lines rather than upset patterns. TYLOO has maintained consistent representation in major Asian events over several years, whilst JiJieHao's recent roster movements and tournament placements inform current market positioning. The 55% probability suggests traders view JiJieHao as marginally stronger on current form, though the five-percentage-point spread indicates meaningful uncertainty about relative team strength at match time.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any schedule adjustments from the Asian Champions League organisers in the days preceding 16 May. Recent changes to Counter-Strike competitive formats and map pools can shift preparation advantages between teams. Equipment or connectivity issues affecting either squad's practice environment could shift probability meaningfully. The match's position within the broader group stage also matters—teams' motivation levels may vary depending on qualification scenarios already determined by earlier results.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/acl. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs TYLOO (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$32 in lifetime turnover and $17K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $32 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/acl. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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