Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Galorys and ex-KRÜ Esports in the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Galorys" if Galorys win the match against ex-KRÜ Esports. This market will resolve to "ex-KRÜ Esports" if ex-KRÜ Esports win the match against Galorys. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 79% YES | 22% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 73% YES | 27% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 69% YES | 32% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 35% YES | 66% NO |
| Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs ex-KRÜ Esports (+1.5) | 56% YES | 44% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Galorys will face ex-KRÜ Esports in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, scheduled for 11 May at 4:00PM ET. The fixture marks an early-stage competitive test between two South American rosters, with the winner advancing through the group phase. Polymarket's order book currently reflects a 74% implied probability favouring Galorys, suggesting the market views them as the stronger side heading into this encounter.
Galorys enters as the clear favourite, a positioning that aligns with recent regional performance trends where established Brazilian and Argentine squads have demonstrated consistency against reformed lineups. Ex-KRÜ Esports, operating under a restructured banner following organisational changes, carries inherent uncertainty regarding roster cohesion and preparation depth. Historical precedent in South American Counter-Strike suggests that teams with stable rosters and recent LAN experience tend to outperform newly assembled or transitional squads by margins consistent with the current 74% probability.
Traders should monitor fixture confirmation and any last-minute roster changes through BetBoom's official announcements, particularly given the tournament's May timeline when visa and travel logistics can create scheduling friction. The settlement window extends to 2 May 2026 at 02:00 UTC, providing a seven-day buffer beyond the scheduled match date. Any delay beyond that threshold or failure to complete the series would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Watch for official team statements regarding preparation status and recent scrim results, which occasionally surface on team social channels ahead of group-stage matches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/dust2br. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Galorys vs ex-KRÜ Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$10K in lifetime turnover and $36K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $10K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/dust2br. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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