Trade the outcome below — no house edge, instant USDC settlement on Polygon
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Gaming By Legends and Ølgod Efterskole in the Parken Challenger Championship Group B, initially scheduled for April 10 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gaming By Legends" if Gaming By Legends win the match against Ølgod Efterskole. This market will resolve to "Ølgod Efterskole" if Ølgod Efterskole win the match against Gaming By Legends. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Real-money prediction markets aggregate live odds from thousands of traders, surfacing a sharper probability than any single forecast. Odds will populate live once the order book fills (the resolution date has passed — final payout is being settled via UMA oracle).
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Gaming By Legends will face Ølgod Efterskole in a best-of-one Counter-Strike match within the Parken Challenger Championship Group B on 10 April 2026. The fixture is scheduled for 08:30 ET, with settlement occurring at 18:30 UTC the same day. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal liquidity at present or strong consensus positioning against Gaming By Legends' chances in this matchup.
Danish esports competitions, particularly those involving academy or challenger-tier teams, typically feature significant variance in outcomes. Ølgod Efterskole represents an educational institution's competitive programme, whilst Gaming By Legends operates as an established organisation. Historical precedent from regional Scandinavian Counter-Strike tournaments shows that institutional teams often field developing rosters, creating unpredictability relative to established squads. The current 0% probability suggests traders are pricing Gaming By Legends as heavy underdogs, though such extreme readings often reflect thin order books rather than genuine certainty.
Key catalysts include roster confirmations and recent form data from both organisations' preceding matches in the same tournament group. The Parken Challenger Championship operates under standard ESL or BLAST ruleset conventions, meaning technical delays or server issues could trigger the seven-day cancellation clause. Traders should monitor official tournament announcements from the Parken venue and both teams' social media for last-minute lineup changes or withdrawal notices. Given the settlement window closes on match day itself, any fixture postponement would immediately shift resolution mechanics toward the 50-50 tie outcome.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/challengerchampionship_d. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 10 April 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Because this market resolves from a publicly verifiable feed (https://kick.com/challengerchampionship_d), the probability of dispute is materially lower than the overall 0.5% PolyGram baseline — most disputes occur on markets with ambiguous wording or non-public resolution sources.
Withdrawal pace from your PolyGram balance is non-custodial and immediate — once payout clears, funds are yours to send to any Polygon wallet you control. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "Counter-Strike: Gaming By Legends vs Ølgod Efterskole (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championsh", order-book behaviour for this market reflects the underlying volatility of the outcome — patient limit orders typically fill closer to mid than market orders.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($0 of resting liquidity), a $50 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Gaming By Legends vs Ølgod Efterskole (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/challengerchampionship_d. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 April 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "Counter-Strike: Gaming By Legends vs Ølgod Efterskole (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championsh", the considerations above apply directly — Trade size should reflect the binary nature of the payoff: even a 70% probability event resolves NO 30% of the time, so any single position can lose 100% of staked capital.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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